Polymarket Trader

0x41a2f33f26cD8289b10Ff967B20493b9D07F5ccF-1771640789975

0x41a2f33f26cd8289b10ff967b20493b9d07f5ccf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.64K
Realized PnL: $2.69K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $3.94K
Potential profit: $2.34K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $262.03

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $26.47
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $6.47

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $17.06
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $803.77
Potential payout: $861.95
Potential profit: $58.18
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $398.95

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $155.79
Potential payout: $703.36
Potential profit: $547.56
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $130.83
Potential payout: $562.7
Potential profit: $431.88
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: -$11.88

No position

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $332.81
Potential payout: $528.28
Potential profit: $195.46
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $233.81

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $28.16
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $498.16
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $21.01
Potential payout: $500.19
Potential profit: $479.18
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$78.99

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $9.37
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $407.29
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $169.39
Potential payout: $408.16
Potential profit: $238.78
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$30.61

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $28.33
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $305
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$11.67

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $305.73
Potential payout: $328.39
Potential profit: $22.66
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $105.73

Yes position

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $21.09
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $196.3
Multiplier: 10.31x
User PnL: -$28.91

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.29
Potential profit: $185.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $986.08

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $791.67

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.47

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $119.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.26

Yes position

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.54

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.95

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $68.73

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.52

No position

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$1.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 60% 16.67 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 416.67 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 588.24 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 588.24 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 24.2% 187.56 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 1,176.47 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 526.32 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 24% 234.44 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 66.5% 157.62 shares
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

No 95% 103.69 shares