Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $83.2
- Potential payout
- $205.7
- Potential profit
- $122.49
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $33.2
Polymarket Trader
xandr0s
0x41a3346801ae39c2c5b0d9fe40ca8a3abf038d0d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $643.55
- Realized PnL
- $459.37
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $188.54
- Potential payout
- $188.54
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $88.54
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $84.26
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $100.93
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$15.74
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $115
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $27.86
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $136.49
- Potential payout
- $136.49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $36.49
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $36.06
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $24.55
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$3.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.29
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.2
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.78
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.08
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.9
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.9
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
OpenAI social app in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.79
Yes position
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
OpenAI social app in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$173
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 90% 100 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 66% 60.61 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 73.3% 136.49 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 70% 142.86 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 54% 185.19 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95.6% 169.49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 57% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 100 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 24.3% 205.7 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 53% 188.54 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 59% 169.49 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 100 shares