Yes position
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Polymarket Trader
GA6300BD
0x41a43ce1adf17406f06ed3f56a16468147f04187
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.69
- Realized PnL
- $571.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.1
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.23
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $82.96
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $16.99
- Potential profit
- $13.04
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $13.25
- Potential profit
- $8.3
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $7.21
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.26
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.15
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.35
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.93
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.56
Yes position
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.15
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.94
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.66
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $23.05
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.15
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.26
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.79
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.14
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.77
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.53
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.47
No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.75
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
No position
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.36
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.34
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.22
No position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 50% 29 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 50% 29 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 49.9% 6.01 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 45.7% 6.04 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 9% 167 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 9% 133 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 74.9% 13.35 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 5.1% 56.98 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 4% 327.47 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 10% 60 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 10% 0.66 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 0.4% 430.6 shares