Polymarket Trader

H976W3

0x41a659e1ab54a0b88d5379c8eea621957bdd280b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.12K
Realized PnL: $10.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $16.28K
Potential payout: $20.74K
Potential profit: $4.46K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$218.93

Over position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $832.92
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $0.42
User PnL: $332.92

Over position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $169.49
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

No position

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.05
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $885.19

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $871.51

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.93

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.16

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.92

Over position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.29

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.38

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.37

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.33

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.28

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.16

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.21

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.91

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.38

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.37

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

No 79.9% 12,512.34 shares
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

No 79% 8,231.65 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Over 59% 169.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Down 28% 17.86 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

Over 60% 833.33 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Over 70% 714.29 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

Over 26% 76.92 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5

Over 84% 119.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Down 52% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Up 98% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Up 94% 5.32 shares
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $1B in 2026?

Yes 95% 3.19 shares