No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $108.08
- Potential payout
- $108.9
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- User PnL
- $4.03
Polymarket Trader
elleding
0x41be794158219fb12b69d1441a7bff2f5194486d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $210.09
- Realized PnL
- $40.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $82.45
- Potential payout
- $97
- Potential profit
- $14.55
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$11.27
No position
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $19.56
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
No position
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
No position
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
DeepSeek R2 released before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of June 8 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp)
No position
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $93000 on Mar 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will XRP reach $2.30 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 99.6% 21 shares
- Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 98% 30 shares
- Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 96% 67 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of June 8 2026?No 98% 50 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 95.5% 108.9 shares
- Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?No 99.4% 132 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 52.4% 249.99 shares
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?No 96.8% 25 shares
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?No 96.8% 60 shares
- Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?No 97.2% 5.85 shares
- Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?No 92.4% 82.18 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?No 99.5% 76.17 shares