Yes position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $86.57
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Polymarket Trader
ImportedFlow
0x41c85baf0e07a63fbe403f576dfc4aafd6729f65
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $127.94
- Realized PnL
- $34.91
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.7
- Potential profit
- $91.7
- User PnL
- -$11.92
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $6.77
- Potential payout
- $61.84
- Potential profit
- $55.07
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $6.27
- Potential payout
- $48.76
- Potential profit
- $42.49
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $34.29
- Potential profit
- $29.61
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Norway position
Spread: Norway (-3.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $32.61
- Potential profit
- $26.66
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $28.97
- Potential profit
- $28.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $26.09
- Potential profit
- $25.15
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$5.06
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $7.12
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $17.88
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $16.99
- Potential payout
- $23.12
- Potential profit
- $6.13
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $10.98
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.69
- Potential profit
- $20.69
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $19.25
- Potential profit
- $10.3
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $5.29
No position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $11.59
- Potential payout
- $18.69
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $5.61
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.64
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $12.88
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $5.33
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $11.34
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $16.22
- Potential profit
- $11.35
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $15.03
- Potential profit
- $8.41
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $13.4
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Under position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $12.24
- Potential profit
- $9.49
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $11.91
- Potential profit
- $6.31
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Header" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the announcers say "President" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Norway position
Spread: Norway (-2.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Norway position
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 7.7 shares
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?No 54% 11.2 shares
- Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?No 97.9% 6.2 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 99% 6.12 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 48.6% 12.42 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 26% 23.12 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 96.3% 6.27 shares
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?No 29% 20.69 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 15% 40.33 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 75% 8.11 shares
- Will the announcers say "Header" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 93% 6.52 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 80% 7.54 shares