No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $857.14
- Potential profit
- $857.14
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
0x41C9EbAbADD00795d5165c258Cf814CB7048b284-1775431110782
0x41c9ebabadd00795d5165c258cf814cb7048b284
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.5
- Realized PnL
- -$32.78
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $32.95
- Potential payout
- $346.86
- Potential profit
- $313.9
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$29.48
Yes position
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.13
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $111
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.9
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $35.72
- Potential profit
- $33.78
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $33.79
- Potential profit
- $30.31
- Multiplier
- 9.71x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$14.66
Yes position
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2027- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $4.16
- Potential payout
- $20.78
- Potential profit
- $16.63
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.84
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.32
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.15
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $17.54
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Iran be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.46
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $5.81
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.8
No position
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (April 19)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 19)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Trump say "Sucker" or "Loser" this week? (April 19)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.3% 24.1 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 5.7% 17.54 shares
- Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 63% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 50% 8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 76% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 20 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 86% 5.81 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 203.7 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 40.9% 2.44 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 5 shares