Polymarket Trader

0x43f73C812423173eD01faB8F51C276217E62c3dE-1773531745459

0x41d6b431f53cf57cc2f00db489f091fbcbf3608b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.28
Realized PnL: -$14.72
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64K
Potential profit: $3.64K
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $544.88
Potential profit: $544.88
User PnL: -$9.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $364.48
Potential profit: $364.48
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $275.71
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.75
Potential profit: $263.75
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $151.64
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.8
Potential profit: $103.8
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $98.18
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.25
Potential profit: $100.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Grimes be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.84
Potential profit: $65.84
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.61
Potential profit: $59.61
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $9.71
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $49.12
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $27.87
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the announcers say "President" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $25.32
Potential profit: $24.73
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$1.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 18.5% 17.09 shares
Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 5.8% 103.45 shares
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 29.2% 17.09 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 41% 14.63 shares
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?

Yes 20.5% 9.76 shares
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? AND Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? AND Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

2.4% 419.09 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

1.5% 66.63 shares
Will the announcers say "President" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 37% 27.03 shares
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 7.7% 103.8 shares
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares