Polymarket Trader

pavelsilivanov

0x41d7c0e8f19e39c8ecf8fb616dc1202ece08278b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.23
Realized PnL: $2.78K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$49.92

No position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.6
Potential profit: $51.6
User PnL: -$49.95

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $39.23
Potential payout: $44.4
Potential profit: $5.17
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$2.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Lions position

Cowboys vs. Lions

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $880

Up position

Solana Up or Down on August 23?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800

Celtics position

Knicks vs. Celtics

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667

Celtics position

Pistons vs. Celtics

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483

Up position

Solana Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.17

Braves position

White Sox vs. Braves

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.71

Padres position

Giants vs. Padres

Ends Aug 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

49ers position

49ers vs. Browns

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.24

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

No position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

No position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.7%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 92.3%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $0.17

Giants position

Giants vs. Padres

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$380.16

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Nuggets

Ends May 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$599.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude 5 be released by June 19, 2026?

Yes 94% 53.19 shares
Cowboys vs. Lions

Lions 60% 2,200 shares
Knicks vs. Celtics

Celtics 50% 1,334 shares
49ers vs. Browns

49ers 68% 582 shares
Giants vs. Padres

Padres 60% 500 shares
White Sox vs. Braves

Braves 63% 683 shares
Giants vs. Padres

Giants 33% 17.08 shares
Thunder vs. Nuggets

Thunder 64% 937 shares