No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.51K
Polymarket Trader
MrLooney
0x41df47c1a2c3f04fef35eabcadeaebe065e14b70
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.71K
- Realized PnL
- $4.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $11.2
- User PnL
- $220.9
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $141.41
- Potential payout
- $554.55
- Potential profit
- $413.14
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$3.59
No position
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $225.41
- Potential payout
- $265.19
- Potential profit
- $39.78
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $9.37
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $168
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $32
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $84.6
- Potential payout
- $188
- Potential profit
- $103.4
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$18.52
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.05
- Potential profit
- $180.05
- User PnL
- -$100.83
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $12.33
- Potential payout
- $137
- Potential profit
- $124.67
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$20.39
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $47.5
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.87
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.32
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.1
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.4
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.64
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.19
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.84
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.76
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.71
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.27
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $141.1
No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.73
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.6
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.52
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.44
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 5PM ET
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.54
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.9
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.71
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.13
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.34
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.7
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 91.7% 436.1 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 74.2% 269.44 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 71.9% 199.99 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 25% 120 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 69.7% 150 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 92% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?No 96.2% 300 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?No 85% 100 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?No 80% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?No 91% 86.92 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 85% 100 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 49% 48 shares