No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $20.42
- Potential payout
- $23.61
- Potential profit
- $3.19
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.42
Polymarket Trader
November111
0x41df8c5d708ec0e1ee47103bc7125344d62ddeb9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.49
- Realized PnL
- $115.45
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $5.73
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $2.35
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Sabres position
Senators vs. Sabres
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.17
No position
Will Bernie say "Musk" or "Zuckerberg" or "Bezos" 7+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114,000 on October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Kraken IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 October 13-19?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$5.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 58% 8.62 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 72% 23.61 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes 95% 2.11 shares
- Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?No 93.8% 2.35 shares
- Kraken IPO in 2025?No 95.3% 2.41 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes 90% 1.78 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 October 13-19?No 99.5% 2.11 shares
- Senators vs. SabresSabres 48% 229.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.8% 55.06 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.1% 5,833.33 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.9% 55.07 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114,000 on October 15?Yes 92.4% 2.06 shares