Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $795
- Potential profit
- $794.6
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$71.87
Polymarket Trader
0x41E56eAc8D81EE01555dCBc7a9D5A1BB8db0E283-1782971512635
0x41e56eac8d81ee01555dcbc7a9d5a1bb8db0e283
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.98
- Realized PnL
- $1.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $760.34
- Potential profit
- $759.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$68.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $590.06
- Potential profit
- $589.76
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$53.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $247.63
- Potential profit
- $247.51
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $247.63
- Potential profit
- $247.51
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $247.63
- Potential profit
- $247.51
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $212.63
- Potential profit
- $212.52
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C or higher on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $209.92
- Potential profit
- $209.81
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $209.92
- Potential profit
- $209.81
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $209.92
- Potential profit
- $209.81
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $206.59
- Potential profit
- $206.48
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $206.59
- Potential profit
- $206.48
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or below on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $206.59
- Potential profit
- $206.48
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $206.59
- Potential profit
- $206.48
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $206.59
- Potential profit
- $206.48
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $206.59
- Potential profit
- $206.48
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $159.63
- Potential profit
- $159.55
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $156.14
- Potential profit
- $156.06
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $119.63
- Potential profit
- $119.57
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $119.63
- Potential profit
- $119.57
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $116.3
- Potential profit
- $116.24
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $115.58
- Potential profit
- $115.52
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $108.08
- Potential profit
- $108.02
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $106.54
- Potential profit
- $106.49
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $158.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $144.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $136.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $119.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $112.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $87.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $82.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $68.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $64.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $52.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $38.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $37.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $34.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $31.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- $30.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $25.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $24.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $23.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $15.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $15.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $14.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 7?No 97.9% 8.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?No 70% 8.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?No 88% 8.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?No 82.9% 8.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on July 7?No 97.6% 8.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on July 7?No 97.6% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?No 70.6% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 7?No 98.6% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?No 89.3% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?No 69.3% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?No 82.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 7?No 91% 8 shares