Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $63.87
- Potential payout
- $705.79
- Potential profit
- $641.92
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$619.47
Polymarket Trader
IancianU
0x41e69e86a1a5ebb1cd631403f7a0f8d6274fcaee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $652.98
- Realized PnL
- $2.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Current value
- $584.91
- Potential payout
- $700.07
- Potential profit
- $115.16
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$44.14
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.9
- Potential profit
- $112.9
- User PnL
- -$91.45
Yes position
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.85
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.65
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.55
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.18
No position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $176.2
No position
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.93
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.79
Yes position
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.44
Yes position
Megaquake by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.94
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.27
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.27
No position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.44
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.3
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.6
No position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.82
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.19
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.08
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.19
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.45
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 63–64°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.11
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 96.7% 100 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 96.9% 85 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 96.6% 100 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?Yes 81% 112.89 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 97.1% 14 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 97.3% 20 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?Yes 68% 20 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 97% 166.79 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?Yes 69.1% 21.15 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No 90.7% 9.99 shares
- Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?No 99.5% 100 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No 90.6% 133.06 shares