Polymarket Trader

POB-T

0x41e6de55cf3bd608b50952f681dfb562187466b7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $50.7
Realized PnL: $1.11
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.75
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$11.75

No position

Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.75
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$8.25

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $18.41
Potential payout: $29.45
Potential profit: $11.04
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Gumayusi Win MSI Finals MVP

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.67
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$2.23

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $8.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.7
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$3.9

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $9.11
Potential payout: $11.25
Potential profit: $2.14
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $18.96

No position

Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.22

No position

Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above $1.2B?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $4.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will BNY (BK) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Ends Apr 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Ends Apr 1, 2027

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.1

Ilbirs eSports position

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Ilbirs eSports (BO1)

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above $1.2B?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$16.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solana Up or Down - February 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Down 99% 1.01 shares
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Down 99% 1.01 shares
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Down 99% 1.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Up 38% 2.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Up 48% 2.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Up 51% 1.93 shares
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Ilbirs eSports (BO1)

Ilbirs eSports 26% 3.85 shares
Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?

No 26.9% 71.42 shares
Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?

No 14% 71.43 shares
Will BNY (BK) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 89% 11.24 shares
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 79% 12.66 shares
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 68.9% 14.51 shares