Polymarket Trader

azuros

0x41f30a8484098982cb6c219d7148d356cb008987

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $90.1
Realized PnL: $22.07
Win rate: 63.2%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $90.1
Potential payout: $100.11
Potential profit: $10.01
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.41
Potential profit: $59.41
User PnL: -$1

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.35

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $12.31

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.2

Finland position

Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.18

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.36

Canada position

Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.07

Switzerland position

World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.73

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.58

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.44

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$14.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 86% 12.04 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 97.9% 5 shares
Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 97.1% 33.25 shares
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Switzerland 53% 18.51 shares
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Switzerland 54% 18.52 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 50.7% 37.14 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 50.7% 35.69 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 45.4% 5 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 46.6% 19.99 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 19% 55.55 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 36% 55.56 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 79.4% 25.2 shares