01429

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Scott McTominay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.61
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.46
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $25.32
Potential profit: $20.38
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.93
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $22.47
Potential profit: $21.5
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $12.58
Potential profit: $11.76
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $5.46
Potential payout: $12.55
Potential profit: $7.09
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.45
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.29
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.03
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $3.82
Potential payout: $6.31
Potential profit: $2.49
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $4.09
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.31
Potential profit: $5.31
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $2.26
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: -$0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.45

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.74

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-01?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

US military draft authorized in 2026?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?