Polymarket Trader

Joebutt

0x41f9c000683b5b957b0b45ba9aeca9fb1c8a7ed9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.96
Realized PnL: $430.38
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.88
Potential profit: $50.88
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.25
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.83
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$9.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.73
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$5.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 73.8%
Current value: $14.76
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.24
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $8.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8
Potential profit: $2.8
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.73

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 30.7% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 42.5% 82.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 93.3% 82.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 97% 78.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 72% 104.46 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 95.5% 77.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 89.7% 74.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 96.9% 80.37 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 93.2% 80.37 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 92% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 90% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

No 98.5% 76.19 shares