No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $86.21
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $63.22
Polymarket Trader
aTurtle
0x41fb5ce454936dfd8010ccfb2ed9472468e2e1e3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.38K
- Realized PnL
- $186.6
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $530.7
- Potential payout
- $580
- Potential profit
- $49.3
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $7.9
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $440.16
- Potential payout
- $470
- Potential profit
- $29.85
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $306
- Potential payout
- $327.27
- Potential profit
- $21.27
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $114
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $226.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $23.75
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.75
No position
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $223.46
- Potential payout
- $246.91
- Potential profit
- $23.46
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $23.46
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $199.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $25.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $98.32
- Potential payout
- $190.91
- Potential profit
- $92.59
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
No position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $152.95
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $37.05
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $71.25
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Current value
- $84.29
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $19.71
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$90
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$50.4
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $53.7
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.29
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.13
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.98
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.02
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$54.85
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$109.2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$207
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 50% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 100 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 72% 50 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 72% 70 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 90% 100 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 79% 5.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 87% 200 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93% 98.36 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 91% 330 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 34% 129.98 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No 9.1% 142.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55% 90.91 shares