Polymarket Trader

0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b

0x4207c4f53b785c6d0d48512a497ebd845c29b81b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.15K
Realized PnL: $660.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will James Thomas Bryer win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.24K
Potential profit: $158.24K
User PnL: -$4.8K

Yes position

Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.56K
Potential profit: $150.56K
User PnL: -$4.56K

Yes position

Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.89K
Potential profit: $139.89K
User PnL: -$4.24K

Yes position

Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.78K
Potential profit: $138.78K
User PnL: -$4.21K

Yes position

Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $63.14
Potential payout: $126.27K
Potential profit: $126.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $63.14
Potential payout: $126.27K
Potential profit: $126.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $63.14
Potential payout: $126.27K
Potential profit: $126.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $63.14
Potential payout: $126.27K
Potential profit: $126.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $63.14
Potential payout: $126.27K
Potential profit: $126.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $63.14
Potential payout: $126.27K
Potential profit: $126.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $63.14
Potential payout: $126.27K
Potential profit: $126.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $63.14
Potential payout: $126.27K
Potential profit: $126.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $63.14
Potential payout: $126.27K
Potential profit: $126.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $63.14
Potential payout: $126.27K
Potential profit: $126.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $63.14
Potential payout: $126.27K
Potential profit: $126.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $63.14
Potential payout: $126.27K
Potential profit: $126.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $59.19
Potential payout: $118.39K
Potential profit: $118.33K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.17K

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.3
Potential payout: $96.6K
Potential profit: $96.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $155.76K

No position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.17K

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $85.46K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.38K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.26K

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.88K

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $19.51K

No position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.14K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $18.81K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $14.74K

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.08K

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $8.36K

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.03K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $7.89K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.16K

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $7.01K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.7K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.14K

Down position

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $6.11K

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $3.97K

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.85K

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8K

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

No 96.3% 1,079 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

No 87% 11 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

No 16.1% 193.99 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

No 14.1% 5,565.32 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

No 96.5% 630.57 shares
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 3% 2,861.92 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 0.4% 1,696.98 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 91% 70 shares
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 5% 1,390.77 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 57% 1,612.21 shares
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?

No 80% 55 shares
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?

Yes 16% 156.2 shares