Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $30.35
- Potential payout
- $466.91
- Potential profit
- $436.56
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$44.65
Polymarket Trader
Farrehagge
0x421354b54520ea4da50da2c19ea5b09fe8082345
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.67
- Realized PnL
- $29.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.56
- Potential profit
- $96.56
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.06
- Potential profit
- $86.06
- User PnL
- -$40.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.19
- Potential profit
- $37.19
- User PnL
- -$8.93
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $36.59
- Potential profit
- $34.21
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$12.62
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $29.41
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $24.41
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $17.99
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.97
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 47% 86.06 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 99.2% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETUp 24% 36.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp 20% 4.94 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 41% 36.59 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 437.5 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 4.7% 21.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes 5.4% 18.52 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes 3.1% 96.56 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 25% 40 shares