Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.54K
- Potential profit
- $5.54K
- User PnL
- -$139.56
Polymarket Trader
evalso
0x4222e7062f044dcad6ae68a050e3434efa47aa99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $580.23
- Realized PnL
- -$7.05
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $172.3
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$27.79
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $161.07
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$39.01
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $39.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $960.5
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $91.49
- Potential payout
- $963
- Potential profit
- $871.52
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $505
- Potential profit
- $505
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $42.12
- Potential payout
- $443.4
- Potential profit
- $401.28
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$7.88
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $57.36
- Potential payout
- $337.42
- Potential profit
- $280.06
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $7.42
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335
- Potential profit
- $335
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.77
- Potential profit
- $277.77
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.28
- Potential profit
- $154.28
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $108.18
- Potential profit
- $104.67
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$6.58
Yes position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $80.21
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.89
- Potential profit
- $58.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $42.25
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes 10% 985 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 834 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.4% 52 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Yes 7% 26.72 shares
- Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Yes 21% 14 shares
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?Yes 12% 20.97 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 15% 69 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 15% 200 shares
- Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 300 shares
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?Yes 12% 16.4 shares
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes 9% 90 shares