Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Polymarket Trader
Spikebasedd
0x422e326712ffe6b0bde7b18cf13555934f03d5ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $162.5
- Realized PnL
- $374
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $162.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$544.75
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950
- Potential profit
- $950
- User PnL
- -$57
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $925.44
- Potential profit
- $925.44
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $794.5
- Potential profit
- $794.5
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $574
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.6
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$13.63
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.44
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.34
Yes position
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$63
Yes position
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$66.3
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$119
Over position
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$135
Yes position
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$161.49
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$190
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$220
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$290.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 46.3% 442.21 shares
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes 13.3% 750.01 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 3.1% 794.5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 950 shares
- Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 39% 358.97 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes 15.7% 961.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp 15% 58.51 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes 20.8% 961.04 shares
- Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 38.9% 513.59 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 21.6% 925.44 shares
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes 15.4% 1,295.62 shares
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes 13.7% 1,454.58 shares