Polymarket Trader

0x30de972D2D7a3e839e59D7a046CCb8bBDE759749-1757952452719

0x423114718fe7bbf892fb5ab3f07cbeed08eafd2d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $419.85
Realized PnL: $307.51
Win rate: 78.6%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $35.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $164.3
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.3
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $102.9
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $37.1
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $26.9

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $100.86
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $19.14
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $38.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $61.45
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $6.25

No position

Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.7%
Current value: $73.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $26.35
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$13.85

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $56.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $43.51
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$50.4

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.49
Potential profit: $68.49
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Portugal to win the second half?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13

Over position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

No position

Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.88

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.99

Yes position

Argentina to win the second half?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.43

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

No position

Portugal to win the second half?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 61% 70 shares
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Yes 34% 14.71 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 56% 90 shares
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Portugal to win the second half?

Yes 65% 20 shares
Portugal to win the second half?

No 30% 20 shares
Portugal to win the second half?

No 50% 20 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria?

Yes 7% 285.71 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 63% 15.87 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 0.2% 45 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 70% 71.43 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares