Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $27.16
- Potential payout
- $548.73
- Potential profit
- $521.57
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$153.84
Polymarket Trader
0x4237605023BEb058F6c5DEC662a9B1ed51F86E3B-1768129063625
0x4237605023beb058f6c5dec662a9b1ed51f86e3b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.16
- Realized PnL
- $11.44
- Win rate
- 47.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.44
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.97
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.16
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $1.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.91
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.78
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.86
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.28
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.73
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$85.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 29% 68.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 27.6% 181.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 32.8% 152.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 87% 27.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 75.8% 126.61 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 42% 2.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 48% 104.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 44% 113.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 49% 22.45 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 21% 52.7 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 32.3% 52.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes 12% 60.6 shares