Polymarket Trader

CamaleonBizco

0x42528691b483d186dbf7054b87ce03bbc07e5db1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $160.55
Realized PnL: $752.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383
Potential profit: $383
User PnL: -$13.87

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $8.42
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $161.59
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$16.06

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.7%
Current value: $40.27
Potential payout: $145.64
Potential profit: $105.37
Multiplier: 3.62x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $15.02
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $94.99
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $88.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.85
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$48.23

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $88.49
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$5.5

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $21.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $38.7
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$19.5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $26.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $13.8
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $25.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $14.8
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.43

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.58

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.95

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.68

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.74

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.51

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.4

No position

Will Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.31

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $28.06

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.2

No position

Khamenei seen in public by March 7?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.19

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.94

Yes position

Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.53

Yes position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.52

No position

Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.12

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.83

No position

Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

Yes position

Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $18.8

Alcaraz position

US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

No position

Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.14

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.99

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.98

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 98% 193.33 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 63% 45 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 41% 15 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 17% 99.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 93% 191 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 3.7% 283 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Yes 85% 11 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Yes 61% 5 shares
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 73% 44.93 shares
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 74% 14.95 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?

Yes 91% 34.4 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Yes 97% 16 shares