No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.78
- Potential profit
- $136.78
- User PnL
- -$119
Polymarket Trader
ghkfk
0x42589c817146deef3f222bf49bfd721e5f750a0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.23
- Realized PnL
- $95.84
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $57.23
- Potential payout
- $90.84
- Potential profit
- $33.61
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$14.77
No position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.05
- Potential profit
- $25.05
- User PnL
- -$19.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.67
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Over $200M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will "The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 6 above $180?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 87% 136.78 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 75% 118.67 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 88% 10.2 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 71% 23.25 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 99.1% 64.7 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 88% 10.2 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 79.3% 90.84 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 1.7% 64.71 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?No 94.5% 22.22 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 86% 23.26 shares
- Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?No 77.4% 25.05 shares
- Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 98.9% 21.36 shares