No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $835
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $335
Polymarket Trader
liveman
0x425bcad7cd516541c5c8ccd85c9d19a75853b6c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.67K
- Realized PnL
- $247.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $735
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $265
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $235
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $835
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$335
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $478.35
- Potential payout
- $587
- Potential profit
- $108.65
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $26.36
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $419.17
- Potential payout
- $502
- Potential profit
- $82.83
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$22.59
Yes position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$77
No position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $33.92
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $1.5
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $77.55
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.72
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
Yes position
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.21
Yes position
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.32
No position
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.95
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Yes position
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes 50% 92.34 shares
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?No 97.7% 29 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Yes 20% 399.99 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes 34% 96.58 shares
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?No 98% 29 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes 34% 300 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 6.1%?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No 65% 8.25 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No 67% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?No 4% 16.81 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Yes 38% 18.3 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No 8% 10 shares