Polymarket Trader

0x425FB582f8f8b37E11ADCf10aAEcEe1eDBD9b47D-1766556768568

0x425fb582f8f8b37e11adcf10aaecee1edbd9b47d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $204.95
Realized PnL: $688.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $30.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $19.25
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $28.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $25.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $24.25
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $35.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $14.25
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$9.3

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $7.72
Potential profit: $1.27
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.73

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.31

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.48

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.51

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.25

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.88

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.2

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.12

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 50 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 43% 50 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 50 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 52% 50 shares
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 31% 30 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 54% 50 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 41% 40 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 55% 50 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 84% 50 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 99% 50 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 63% 29.99 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 86% 30 shares