Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $99.12
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Polymarket Trader
0nyxx
@333_bgbg
0x4273797e52b38adcbd8487cc9f9788d1008e19d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $425.61
- Realized PnL
- $11.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$167.62
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$149.75
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$7.99
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $202.13
- Potential payout
- $825
- Potential profit
- $622.88
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$61.88
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $30.83
- Potential payout
- $560.52
- Potential profit
- $529.69
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$75.17
Yes position
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $499.98
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $254.99
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $18.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $181.2
- Multiplier
- 10.64x
- User PnL
- -$14.2
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $7.3
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $192.69
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$42.7
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $196.74
- Potential profit
- $196.44
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.57
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $9.7
- Potential payout
- $135.79
- Potential profit
- $126.1
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.05
- Potential profit
- $19.05
- User PnL
- -$4.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Pavel Durov released in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $842.54
Yes position
Will Oleksandr Usyk beat Tyson Fury in Ring of Fire?
Ends May 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $734.38
Yes position
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.05
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.69
No position
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $633.03
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $410.35
No position
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $388.98
Yes position
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.56
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $352.77
Yes position
zkSync airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.16
Yes position
GALA hacker returns >50% of funds in May?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.68
Yes position
Trump x Elon talk by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.64
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.99
Yes position
Trump x Putin talk before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $298.56
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $297.98
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $267.79
Yes position
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $262.29
Yes position
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.16
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $252.04
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $243.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 1,754.39 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 15% 100 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes 32% 312.5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes 32% 312.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 76.2% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 63% 230.98 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes 1.1% 3,636.36 shares
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.7% 714.29 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes 14.5% 345.88 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes 13.7% 197.14 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 3.4% 294.12 shares