Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $150
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
0x427645f9a7dc060AcA702A9afAB8EAcBB44984E9-1767100354121
0x427645f9a7dc060aca702a9afab8eacbb44984e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $805.85
- Realized PnL
- $850.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $465
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$57.74
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $305.99
- Potential payout
- $345.75
- Potential profit
- $39.76
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.99
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $20.67
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $312.67
- Multiplier
- 16.13x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $11.06
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $291.97
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$8.94
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $3.39
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $107.72
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$16.61
Yes position
Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.5
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$41.44
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $6.54
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $70.38
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.46
No position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $68.05
- Potential payout
- $74.78
- Potential profit
- $6.73
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $18.05
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $55.28
- Potential payout
- $70.42
- Potential profit
- $15.14
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $5.28
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $55.59
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.59
Yes position
Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.25
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$10.84
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $40.24
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $7.38
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $10.24
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $20.9
- Potential payout
- $37.67
- Potential profit
- $16.76
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$6.22
Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $7.67
- Potential payout
- $14.62
- Potential profit
- $6.94
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.13
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.71
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.86
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.18
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.46
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.78
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.63
Yes position
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.09
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.84
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.31
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.9
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.73
No position
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $13.49
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 87% 37.5 shares
- Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No 77% 15.62 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 1,428.57 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 95.6% 37.5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 58.82 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 80% 37.5 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.6% 303.03 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 71% 70.42 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 86.8% 345.75 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 66.8% 44.9 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 70% 71.43 shares