Polymarket Trader

BLAH

0x4283a52692565c785e4980e6c933b09fda68169e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $371.98
Realized PnL: $481.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $217.45
Potential payout: $224.4
Potential profit: $6.96
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.07

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.72
Potential profit: $129.72
User PnL: -$27.84

No position

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $92.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7.85
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$1.04

No position

Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.5
Potential profit: $46.5
User PnL: -$13.95

Under position

2026 Pro Football Draft: Number of QBs drafted O/U 9.5

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.59
Potential profit: $44.59
User PnL: -$12.54

Yes position

Will George Pickens play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $21
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $14.03
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $18.98
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $29.36
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2025 Hero World Challenge?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Corruption" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$9.6

UTEP position

UTEP vs. Kennesaw State

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Tony Finau win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$3.3

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will there be a Powerball jackpot winner by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.1
Potential profit: $25.1
User PnL: -$4.02

Yes position

Will Nick Goepper (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$4.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

NCAA Tournament: 1 seed knocked out before round of 16?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.6

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.09

Yes position

Shedeur Sanders on Browns Week 1 Roster?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.17

No position

WM Phoenix Open: Hole in One on 16?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.75

No position

North Korea missile test by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

No position

Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

No position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.35

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

Yes position

Will Trump mention "South Park" by Sunday?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.1

No position

Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.6

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Celtics

Ends May 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.67

Yes position

Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

Yes position

Will Alex Ferreira (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.01

Yes position

Will Wi Seong-gon win the 2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

No position

Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.48

Yes position

Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.45

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.52

Yes position

US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

North Korea missile test by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

Yes position

Will Trump call Putin “strong” on Friday?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.24

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 41% 33 shares
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?

Yes 0.5% 10 shares
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

No 89% 8 shares
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Yes 10.2% 36.91 shares
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Yes 28% 7 shares
Will George Pickens play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27?

Yes 29% 40 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

No 30% 15 shares
Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Yes 10% 30 shares
Will Wi Seong-gon win the 2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election?

Yes 76% 8.33 shares
Will Wi Seong-gon win the 2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election?

Yes 69% 10 shares
Will Wi Seong-gon win the 2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election?

Yes 70% 20 shares
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 94.2% 17.39 shares