Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $481.97
- Potential profit
- $481.97
- User PnL
- -$19
Polymarket Trader
0x428887EF78b133FF0dC97dFf2a9928C0b64400E8-1771464764702
0x428887ef78b133ff0dc97dff2a9928c0b64400e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.24
- Realized PnL
- $2.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $443.19
- Potential profit
- $443.19
- User PnL
- -$159.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.99
- Potential profit
- $159.99
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.32
- Potential profit
- $106.32
- User PnL
- -$84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.15
- Potential profit
- $58.15
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $46.24
- Potential payout
- $48.93
- Potential profit
- $2.69
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$14.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.05
- Potential profit
- $22.05
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.46
- Potential profit
- $5.46
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.64
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.76
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.94
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.55
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.97
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.77
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.76
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.51
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.96
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 84% 48.93 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 99.5% 41.46 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 94.8% 25.53 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 93.4% 15.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown 43% 58.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown 25% 54.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown 46% 54.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETDown 99% 36.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETDown 98% 5.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETDown 97% 5.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETDown 97% 25.77 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 87% 46 shares