Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $73.07
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$94.93
Polymarket Trader
Cafecul
0x42bc26569cb8a4855729cc072362347a0d394a73
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.07
- Realized PnL
- $107.03
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$9.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.71
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.52
Canadiens position
Golden Knights vs. Canadiens
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
Yes position
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Wild position
Wild vs. Canadiens
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.65
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $2.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.33
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.28
Yes position
Will Starmer say "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Lib Dems/Liberal Democrats" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.9% 1,063.33 shares
- New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No 48% 27.02 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 1,552.35 shares
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 1.6% 632.91 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 18.3% 69.68 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 28.7% 69.69 shares
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 7.9% 632.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown 55% 4.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown 8% 54.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETDown 65% 14.61 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown 64% 14.82 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 588.24 shares