Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $81
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $585.67
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$119
Polymarket Trader
0x42c2...b60d
0x42c229fd9ea41ccb89f7308c7c20919cdfa1b60d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $186.47
- Realized PnL
- $122.06
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $105.47
- Potential payout
- $138.77
- Potential profit
- $33.31
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $5.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.57
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.92
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.66
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.67
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.3
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.07
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $14.79
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.49
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
No position
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$10.87
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$36.21
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$92.86
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$95.41
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 87.1% 114.8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 86.9% 115.07 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 30% 333.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 30% 333.33 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 97.7% 102.35 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 97.7% 102.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 97.8% 102.25 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No 97.5% 102.51 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No 97.5% 102.55 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 97.7% 102.34 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 97.7% 102.34 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 98.3% 216.16 shares