Polymarket Trader

lazibet

0x42c493ce5aeb145970fd923701d3bacbf380f18a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $217.5
Realized PnL: $1.39K
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $185
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $9

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.91
Potential profit: $151.91
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $6.5

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.67

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.85

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.58

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.7

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.05

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.28

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.83

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.96

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.78

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.28

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.31

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.61

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.79

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$58.23

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$90

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Yes 26% 100 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

No 88% 200 shares
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Yes 31% 322.58 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 91% 329.67 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 70% 214.29 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 2.1% 34.48 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Yes 3.5% 68.18 shares
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?

Yes 5.1% 63.13 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 62% 322.58 shares
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

Yes 16% 100 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Yes 22% 68.18 shares
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?

Yes 31.7% 63.14 shares