scottyam

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $2.64K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $932.67
Potential profit: $932.67
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $591.78
Potential profit: $591.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Blue Moon win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $537.04
Potential profit: $537.04
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $515
Potential profit: $515
User PnL: -$100

France position

Men's Group A - Canada vs. France

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.17
Potential profit: $420.17
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $406.85
Potential profit: $406.85
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.04
Potential profit: $384.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.88
Potential profit: $350.88
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-3?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.65
Potential profit: $264.65
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $108.77
Potential payout: $209.18
Potential profit: $100.41
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $8.77

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.04
Potential profit: $201.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.48
Potential profit: $190.48
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.75
Potential profit: $128.75
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.45
Potential profit: $91.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.72
Potential profit: $51.72
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot?

Ends Mar 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $649.11

Yes position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.3

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.82

Yes position

Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

Trump in jail before election day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.37

Yes position

Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.33

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.58

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.64

Yes position

Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.33

Yes position

Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.34

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.71

Yes position

Trump and Taylor Swift shake hands at Super Bowl LIX?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say 'retard' or 'retarded' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say 'mineral' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Nickel Boys" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.03

No position

Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska US Senate Election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will a Republican win Michigan US Senate Election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?