Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- User PnL
- -$7.94
Polymarket Trader
0x42d0e0f8D412136bF30d32F033c802a68b0c304D-1722982976652
@yang543611
0x42d0e0f8d412136bf30d32f033c802a68b0c304d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.44
- Realized PnL
- $991.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $293.4
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$18.6
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $293.85
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $79.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.75
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $24
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $28.99
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.2
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.5
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.1
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.3
3DMAX position
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- User PnL
- -$1.7
MODUS position
Dota 2: 1win vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.99
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.43
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.36
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.38
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 23?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.08
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 29?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.38
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 30?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.99
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.06
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.86
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.48
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.85
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.62
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.7
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.94
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.2
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.75
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.75
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.78
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.6
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.47
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.75
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.2
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 4.9% 8.31 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 95.9% 30 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.9% 100 shares
- Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 1.4% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes 41% 10 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 62% 10 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 6.1% 100 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 15.6% 28.99 shares
- Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?Yes 42% 5 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes 21% 20 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 18% 99.99 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?Yes 99.5% 10 shares