Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $840.39
- Potential profit
- $840.39
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
lucky0629
0x42dfe34425076792ed0528efb7a32c84e948b671
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $103.25
- Realized PnL
- -$460.91
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $556.86
- Potential profit
- $556.86
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $513.32
- Potential profit
- $513.32
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $372.92
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$56.25
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $59.5
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $290.5
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$80.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.61
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.7
No position
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.73
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.49
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.83
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.82
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.7
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.64
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$19.78
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.33
Yes position
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.25
Yes position
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$69.8
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70.88
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$124.09
No position
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$144.37
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$554.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 11.9% 840.39 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 18% 556.86 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes 24% 416.67 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes 3.8% 2,764.5 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes 31% 571.42 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 3.9% 513.32 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes 40% 350 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes 23.9% 250.85 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes 23.9% 836.82 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes 23.9% 1,676.83 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes 35% 571.43 shares
- Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?Yes 2.4% 194.11 shares