No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $38.75
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $24.26
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $7.24
Polymarket Trader
0x42df...cc1e
0x42dff6891fe61a8005563eda42aec7142c3fcc1e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $109.42
- Realized PnL
- -$8.95
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $6.67
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $24.34
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $26.21
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $8.06
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $17.94
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$4.94
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $16.49
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $17.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.79
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $7.88
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $5.87
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $12.2
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.84
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$12.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.2% 5 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No 96.2% 8 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 7.1% 28 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 28% 6 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 91.9% 9 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 8.1% 15 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.1% 6 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 73% 21 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 27% 25 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 78% 14 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 16% 8 shares