No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $64.38K
- Potential payout
- $68.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Polymarket Trader
Trashbag
0x42fa340061a94072a818e540c3e80d8148d81fc7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $405.23K
- Realized PnL
- $44.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $58.12K
- Potential payout
- $62.46K
- Potential profit
- $4.34K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $43.24K
- Potential payout
- $47.78K
- Potential profit
- $4.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $39.15K
- Potential payout
- $44.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $381.52
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $41.25K
- Potential payout
- $43.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $41.66K
- Potential payout
- $41.83K
- Potential profit
- $167.3
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $36.56K
- Potential payout
- $40.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.84K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $962.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.99K
- Potential profit
- $34.99K
- User PnL
- -$34.03K
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $20.38K
- Potential payout
- $20.5K
- Potential profit
- $122.99
- User PnL
- $486.65
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $11.53K
- Potential payout
- $12.01K
- Potential profit
- $486.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $202.36
No position
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.97K
- Potential payout
- $10.78K
- Potential profit
- $808.51
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $17.81
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $7.44K
- Potential payout
- $8.22K
- Potential profit
- $781.24
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $377.48
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $7.93K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $68
- User PnL
- $412
No position
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $7.06K
- Potential payout
- $7.11K
- Potential profit
- $49.76
- User PnL
- $272.6
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.43K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $570
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $645.7
No position
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5.01
No position
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $4.39K
- Potential payout
- $4.59K
- Potential profit
- $199.59
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $451.15
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$480.56
Yes position
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $375
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $125
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$8.56
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $4.78
- User PnL
- $71.4
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $673.64
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $439.81
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$166.15
No position
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $711.26
- Potential payout
- $822.26
- Potential profit
- $111.01
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$41.56
No position
Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $754.12
- Potential profit
- $754.12
- User PnL
- -$500
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21K
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5K
No position
Aster all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $976.69
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $963.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $871.75
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $711.37
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700.98
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $633.08
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582.8
No position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.65
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.55
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.43
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.95
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?No 86% 5 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?No 91% 130.71 shares
- Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 80% 2,500 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?No 95.4% 2,107.71 shares
- Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?No 98% 331.14 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?No 95.3% 1,611.22 shares
- Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?No 95% 510 shares
- Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?No 93.5% 75 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?No 89% 824.56 shares
- Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?No 93% 254.5 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?No 94% 130.71 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?No 88% 3,958.54 shares