Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $109.71
- Potential payout
- $24.38K
- Potential profit
- $24.27K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Polymarket Trader
5245242
0x430fc12ac13646b962c98dd73e159488812f5947
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $109.71
- Realized PnL
- $192.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$5.25K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$12.45K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Lakers
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.48K
- Potential profit
- $4.48K
- User PnL
- -$896.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.88K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.85K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.29K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.55K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.37K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
Yes position
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $989.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $964.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.2% 255,051.48 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 84.4% 43,801.02 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 40% 3,393.8 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 41.8% 53,155.31 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 40% 5,674.28 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 38.7% 10,688.86 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 35% 1,308.32 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 34.6% 1,637.36 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?No 99.9% 19,226.83 shares
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs 57.3% 1,999.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 88% 20,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 99.9% 17,601.75 shares