Polymarket Trader

0x43137682d7C989612faA495304A6D1E4c6C9e5A3-1782742410061

0x43137682d7c989612faa495304a6d1e4c6c9e5a3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $113.14
Realized PnL: $161.44
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $91.73
Potential payout: $91.73
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $44.23

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $21.41
Potential payout: $83.96
Potential profit: $62.55
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.58
Potential profit: $31.58
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.96

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.1%
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $24.93

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.9%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$1.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$19.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

No 23.8% 83.96 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 51% 24.03 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 52% 96.15 shares
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners AND Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?

8.3% 210.96 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 20% 177.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Down 31% 3.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Up 56.9% 11.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Up 44% 11.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Down 10% 10 shares