N
No position
Will Austria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $13.3
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Polymarket Trader
0x43274A4dc68AF54870F1b8cEb1D5e676d040288F-1781207957594
0x43274a4dc68af54870f1b8ceb1d5e676d040288f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $127.62
- Realized PnL
- $7.32
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $11.92
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $8.48
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $0.75
N
No position
Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $5.67
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
N
No position
Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.25
N
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $6.54
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
N
No position
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $0.28
N
No position
Will Iran reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.37
N
No position
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.3%
- Current value
- $5.97
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.3
N
No position
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$2
N
No position
Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $6.41
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.8
N
No position
Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
N
No position
Will Australia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $6.4
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.19
N
No position
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.28
N
No position
Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $6.86
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.13
N
No position
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $5.67
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
N
No position
Will Sweden reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $6.62
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.32
N
No position
Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $6.44
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
N
No position
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
N
No position
Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $5.87
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
N
No position
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $2.21
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
N
No position
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
N
No position
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.1
N
No position
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $3.54
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
N
No position
Will Turkiye reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Qatar reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Uruguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will New Zealand reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?Yes 50% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?Yes 51% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 28?No 69% 2.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 28?No 68% 2.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 28?No 65% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 28?No 75.4% 1.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?Yes 12.1% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 28?No 68% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 28?No 40% 3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 28?Yes 13% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?Yes 12.1% 9 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 28?No 42% 3 shares