No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $82.9
- Potential payout
- $82.94
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.21
Polymarket Trader
icebearbear
@icebear2077
0x432810e8932409ba3b630b0c59dacaa3dd3115ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $146.44
- Realized PnL
- $168.29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.8%
- Current value
- $13.94
- Potential payout
- $50.15
- Potential profit
- $36.21
- Multiplier
- 3.60x
- User PnL
- -$35.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $49.6
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 25?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 4?No 99.8% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 3?No 99.5% 50.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on July 3?No 99.7% 82.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 2?No 99.6% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 1?No 99.7% 30.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on July 1?No 99.6% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on July 1?No 99.9% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on July 2?No 99.6% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on July 1?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?No 99.6% 17.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 30?No 99.8% 51.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 29?No 99.7% 50 shares