Polymarket Trader

yibogggege

0x433fe12cde4433b047fe9d0ee233eca8b9dc5428

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.02
Realized PnL: $19.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.82
Potential profit: $19.82
User PnL: -$18.23

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5)

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.76
Potential profit: $17.76
User PnL: -$4.44

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $15.02
Potential payout: $15.42
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.52
Potential profit: $13.52
User PnL: -$12.44

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $3.92
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82
Potential profit: $2.82
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will Elon tweet 250 or more times April 4 - 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 14-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 28 - April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Ansem position

Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Dogecoin above $0.43 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 28 - April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.3% 15.42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

No 88% 2.59 shares
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

Dplus KIA 20% 5 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Yes 92% 13.52 shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5)

Anyones Legend 25% 17.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

No 96.6% 4.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

No 86.5% 4.6 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 72% 5.52 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 68% 5.53 shares
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?

No 51% 3.92 shares
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?

No 87% 5.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

No 86% 3.49 shares