Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $31.83K
- Potential payout
- $190K
- Potential profit
- $158.18K
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$63.18K
Polymarket Trader
M888
0x43440ab002eaac9fede6f9d21bea96d84228f90d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $207.69K
- Realized PnL
- $136.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $158.18K
- Potential payout
- $190K
- Potential profit
- $31.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $63.18K
No position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.3K
- Potential profit
- $19.3K
- User PnL
- -$785.63
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $2.53K
- Potential payout
- $12.33K
- Potential profit
- $9.8K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $84.81
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.88K
- Potential payout
- $10.11K
- Potential profit
- $7.23K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $63.85
- Potential payout
- $9.12K
- Potential profit
- $9.06K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$393.22
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.42K
- Potential payout
- $5.44K
- Potential profit
- $27.22
- User PnL
- $381.25
No position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.23K
- Potential profit
- $5.23K
- User PnL
- -$5.18K
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $4.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$21.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $204.13
- Potential payout
- $2.72K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$278.62
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $525.21
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$41.33
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- User PnL
- -$95.9
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $45.25
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$139.91
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $570.45
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $186.15
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $199.01
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$208.91
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $43.04
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $5.82
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $9.49
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$28.37
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $403
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $37.67
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$183.4
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$69.12
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $108.75
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$71.88
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $629.45
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $484.82
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$39.11
Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$114.66
Yes position
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.32K
Yes position
Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.46K
Yes position
US strike on Syria by December 19?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32K
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06K
No position
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44K
Yes position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.03K
Yes position
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31K
No position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.24K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.15K
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Zelenskyy position
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No 15.3% 966.47 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?No 3.9% 1,808.77 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No 10.8% 1,239.65 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?Yes 12% 296.64 shares
- Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No 15% 431.34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 18.3% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 29% 349.26 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 11% 1,029 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 28% 2,489.34 shares
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No 95.5% 25 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No 3.5% 985.84 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.6% 827.69 shares