Polymarket Trader

0x4354ED6B98A90DA0E699Ff24150212f7611089A9-1768942325773

0x4354ed6b98a90da0e699ff24150212f7611089a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.74
Realized PnL: $4.41K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.66K
Potential profit: $35.66K
User PnL: -$106.97

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $17.74
Potential payout: $17.74K
Potential profit: $17.72K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$218.95

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.31K
Potential profit: $8.31K
User PnL: -$251.33

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 6?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.25K
Potential profit: $5.25K
User PnL: -$64.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$392.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$55.06

Yes position

Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $831.23
Potential profit: $831.23
User PnL: -$26.36

Yes position

Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $727.27
Potential profit: $727.27
User PnL: -$160

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $574.41
Potential profit: $574.41
User PnL: -$18.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $412.95
Potential profit: $412.95
User PnL: -$148.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $391.62
Potential profit: $391.62
User PnL: -$49.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.32
Potential profit: $370.32
User PnL: -$218.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $363.64
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290.57
Potential profit: $290.57
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279.76
Potential profit: $279.76
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.3
Potential profit: $265.3
User PnL: -$49.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.32
Potential profit: $193.32
User PnL: -$98.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.52
Potential profit: $179.52
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.09
Potential profit: $178.09
User PnL: -$46.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.93
Potential profit: $175.93
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.08
Potential profit: $154.08
User PnL: -$61.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.22
Potential profit: $138.22
User PnL: -$68.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.17
Potential profit: $120.17
User PnL: -$49.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $709.02

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $513.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.52

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$42.61

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 1.4% 15,804.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Down 17% 139.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Down 44% 11.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Down 37% 67.57 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 0.9% 1,935.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Up 27% 92.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Up 30% 83.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Down 12% 208.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Down 35% 71.43 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 3% 1,763.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Down 1.7% 1,495.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Down 4% 625 shares