Polymarket Trader

RBax

0x4366ab8b8b27e4139d94a532e3cec94a83d1c73e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.4K
Realized PnL: $108.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.86K
Potential profit: $115.86K
User PnL: -$115.86

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $2.99K
Potential payout: $45K
Potential profit: $42.01K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $3.41K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $21.59K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$887.37

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $110.4
Potential payout: $16.98K
Potential profit: $16.87K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$69.42

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $8.28K
Potential payout: $8.62K
Potential profit: $336
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $242.81

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $45.45
Potential payout: $8.26K
Potential profit: $8.22K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$887.74

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$1.98K

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $26.74
Potential payout: $4.86K
Potential profit: $4.84K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$302.98

No position

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $69.52
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $35.56

Under position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$1.42K

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $79.78
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $16.3

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$240

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$6

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $674.6
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $332.26
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$15.59

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $500.19
Potential profit: $498.94
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$19.72

Yes position

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $469.76
Potential profit: $463.65
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$31.42

Yes position

Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $5.49
User PnL: -$0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 141.5

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23K

Under position

Maine Black Bears vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 130.5

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.19K

Under position

Maryland Terrapins vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 145.5

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81K

Under position

American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 146.5

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85K

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03K

No position

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98K

Wright State Raiders position

Spread: Wright State Raiders (-5.5)

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79K

Under position

Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64K

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63K

Bellarmine Knights position

Spread: Lipscomb Bisons (-10.5)

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.57K

Drexel Dragons position

Spread: Towson Tigers (-6.5)

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52K

Over position

Idaho State Bengals vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks: O/U 140.5

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4K

Over position

Robert Morris Colonials vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 161.5

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18K

South Carolina State Bulldogs position

Spread: South Carolina State Bulldogs (-1.5)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93K

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers position

Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-8.5)

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62K

No position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62K

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.58K

Western Michigan Broncos position

Spread: Akron Zips (-19.5)

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57K

Over position

Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 156.5

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36K

No position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04K

Steelers position

Ravens vs. Steelers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97K

Texas position

Spread: Texas (-5.5)

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96K

Under position

Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 140.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 1.1% 16,110.14 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 2.1% 50 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

No 6% 2,000 shares
Maja Chwalinska vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Under 2.5 68% 6.22 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 93.7% 2,847.65 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Max Holloway 69% 552.54 shares
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

No 96.9% 202.47 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

No 0.1% 11,000 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

No 0.1% 50,000.69 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.6% 1,399.78 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

No 0.1% 5,360 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.7% 1,000 shares