Polymarket Trader

0x436A2c7aE900626dB7096233E6D324bB4A7f67e8-1771344092592

0x436a2c7ae900626db7096233e6d324bb4a7f67e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $257.22
Realized PnL: -$91.46
Win rate: 61.1%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $68.48
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $261.53
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $15.67

Yes position

Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 160m by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $15.36
Potential payout: $210.41
Potential profit: $195.05
Multiplier: 13.70x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $80.81
Potential payout: $208
Potential profit: $127.19
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $50.09

Yes position

Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $88.83
Potential payout: $126
Potential profit: $37.17
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$16.76

Yes position

Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $21.25
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.79
Potential profit: $11.79
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.51
Potential profit: $10.51
User PnL: -$6.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: $15.05

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35

India position

T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$115.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 160m by August 31?

Yes 6.8% 204 shares
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 160m by August 31?

Yes 6% 6.41 shares
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31?

Yes 18% 25 shares
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?

Yes 84% 101 shares
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?

Yes 83% 25 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.9% 170 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.2% 485.43 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 485.44 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 75% 26.37 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 84% 11.79 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?

2.3% 425.72 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.7% 52 shares