Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.96K
- User PnL
- -$38.5
Polymarket Trader
whatc4says
0x436d376367357914e9677edfdb2027d0970468e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $137.01
- Realized PnL
- -$98.84
- Win rate
- 21.4%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$232.82
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $988.48
- Potential profit
- $988.48
- User PnL
- -$160.52
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$220 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $957.14
- Potential profit
- $957.14
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $567.48
- Potential profit
- $567.48
- User PnL
- -$40.36
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $40.08
- Potential payout
- $421.95
- Potential profit
- $381.86
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$47.91
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.91
- Potential profit
- $254.91
- User PnL
- -$25.74
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $253.33
- Potential profit
- $243.83
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $55.72
- Potential payout
- $253.27
- Potential profit
- $197.55
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$4.28
Yes position
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $14.67
- Potential payout
- $250.84
- Potential profit
- $236.16
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$35.33
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $246.97
- Potential profit
- $246.97
- User PnL
- -$41.96
Yes position
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $15.29
- Potential payout
- $221.67
- Potential profit
- $206.37
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- -$9.7
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.38
- Potential profit
- $204.38
- User PnL
- -$40.56
Yes position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.22
- Potential profit
- $193.22
- User PnL
- -$57
Yes position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.31
- Potential profit
- $107.31
- User PnL
- -$17.17
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $98.04
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $87.64
- Potential profit
- $87.33
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$15.41
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $79.44
- Potential profit
- $78.01
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$18.87
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.24
- Potential profit
- $70.24
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 12?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.88
- Potential profit
- $35.88
- User PnL
- -$12.2
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.4
- Potential profit
- $24.4
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.33
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.12
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.31
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.06
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.8
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.76
Yes position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$113.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Putin visit China by May 31?No 14% 28.57 shares
- Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?Yes 19.9% 250.84 shares
- Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?Yes 11.3% 221.67 shares
- Will Putin visit China by May 31?No 24% 41.67 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 98.7% 95.57 shares
- Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?Yes 16% 107.31 shares
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?Yes 29.5% 44.07 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 20.9% 95.58 shares
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?Yes 29.5% 149.15 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 12% 83.33 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in December?Yes 0.1% 445.04 shares